Documentary-based climate reconstructions in the Czech Lands
1501–2020 CE and their European context

J 2022

Documentary-based climate reconstructions in the Czech Lands 1501–2020 CE and their European context

BRÁZDIL, Rudolf; Petr DOBROVOLNÝ; Jiří MIKŠOVSKÝ; Petr PIŠOFT; Miroslav TRNKA et al.

Základní údaje

Originální název

Documentary-based climate reconstructions in the Czech Lands 1501–2020 CE and their European context

Autoři

BRÁZDIL, Rudolf; Petr DOBROVOLNÝ; Jiří MIKŠOVSKÝ; Petr PIŠOFT; Miroslav TRNKA; Martin MOŽNÝ a Jan BALEK

Vydání

Climate of the Past, Copernicus Publications, 2022, 1814-9324

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Článek v odborném periodiku

Obor

10510 Climatic research

Stát vydavatele

Německo

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Odkazy

URL

Impakt faktor

Impact factor: 4.300

Označené pro přenos do RIV

Ano

Kód RIV

RIV/00216224:14310/22:00125744

Organizační jednotka

Přírodovědecká fakulta

Klíčová slova anglicky

documentary data; climate reconstruction; climate variability; temperature; precipitation; drought indices attribution analysis; wavelet analysis; climate forcings; Czech Lands

Štítky

14315030, rivok

Příznaky

Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno

Změněno: 20. 5. 2022 15:38, Mgr. Marie Novosadová Šípková, DiS.

Anotace

V originále

Annual and seasonal temperature, precipitation, and drought index (SPI – standard precipitation index, SPEI – standard precipitation evapotranspiration index, Z index, PDSI – Palmer Drought Severity Index) series covering the Czech Lands territory (now the Czech Republic) over 520 years (1501–2020 CE) reconstructed from documentary data combined with instrumental observations were analysed herein. The temperature series exhibits a statistically significant increasing trend, rising from ∼ 1890 and particularly from the 1970s; 1991–2020 represents the warmest and driest 30-year period since 1501 CE. While the long-term precipitation total fluctuations (and derived SPI fluctuations) remain relatively stable with annual and decadal variabilities, past temperature increases are the key factor affecting recent increasing dryness in the SPEI, Z index, and PDSI series. The seasonal temperature series represent a broad European area, while the seasonal precipitation series show lower spatial correlations. A statistical attribution analysis conducted utilizing regression and wavelet techniques confirmed the influence of covariates related to volcanic activity (prompting temporary temperature decreases, especially during summer) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (influential in all seasons except summer) in the Czech climate reconstructions. Furthermore, components tied to multidecadal variabilities in the northern Atlantic and northern Pacific were identified in the temperature and precipitation series and in the drought indices, revealing notable shared oscillations, particularly at periods of approximately 70–100 years.

Citovat

BRÁZDIL, Rudolf; Petr DOBROVOLNÝ; Jiří MIKŠOVSKÝ; Petr PIŠOFT; Miroslav TRNKA; Martin MOŽNÝ a Jan BALEK. Documentary-based climate reconstructions in the Czech Lands 1501–2020 CE and their European context. Climate of the Past. Copernicus Publications, 2022, roč. 18, č. 4, s. 935-959. ISSN 1814-9324. Dostupné z: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-935-2022.

@article{1850559,
   author = {Brázdil, Rudolf and Dobrovolný, Petr and Mikšovský, Jiří and Pišoft, Petr and Trnka, Miroslav and Možný, Martin and Balek, Jan},
   article_number = {4},
   doi = {https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-935-2022},
   keywords = {documentary data; climate reconstruction; climate variability; temperature; precipitation; drought indices attribution analysis; wavelet analysis; climate forcings; Czech Lands},
   language = {eng},
   issn = {1814-9324},
   journal = {Climate of the Past},
   title = {Documentary-based climate reconstructions in the Czech Lands 1501–2020 CE and their European context},
   url = {https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/935/2022/},
   volume = {18},
   year = {2022}
}

TY  - JOUR
ID  - 1850559
AU  - Brázdil, Rudolf - Dobrovolný, Petr - Mikšovský, Jiří - Pišoft, Petr - Trnka, Miroslav - Možný, Martin - Balek, Jan
PY  - 2022
TI  - Documentary-based climate reconstructions in the Czech Lands 1501–2020 CE and their European context
JF  - Climate of the Past
VL  - 18
IS  - 4
SP  - 935-959
EP  - 935-959
PB  - Copernicus Publications
SN  - 18149324
KW  - documentary data
KW  - climate reconstruction
KW  - climate variability
KW  - temperature
KW  - precipitation
KW  - drought indices attribution analysis
KW  - wavelet analysis
KW  - climate forcings
KW  - Czech Lands
UR  - https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/935/2022/
N2  - Annual and seasonal temperature, precipitation, and drought index (SPI – standard precipitation index, SPEI – standard precipitation evapotranspiration index, Z index, PDSI – Palmer Drought Severity Index) series covering the Czech Lands territory (now the Czech Republic) over 520 years (1501–2020 CE) reconstructed from documentary data combined with instrumental observations were analysed herein. The temperature series exhibits a statistically significant increasing trend, rising from ∼ 1890 and particularly from the 1970s; 1991–2020 represents the warmest and driest 30-year period since 1501 CE. While the long-term precipitation total fluctuations (and derived SPI fluctuations) remain relatively stable with annual and decadal variabilities, past temperature increases are the key factor affecting recent increasing dryness in the SPEI, Z index, and PDSI series. The seasonal temperature series represent a broad European area, while the seasonal precipitation series show lower spatial correlations. A statistical attribution analysis conducted utilizing regression and wavelet techniques confirmed the influence of covariates related to volcanic activity (prompting temporary temperature decreases, especially during summer) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (influential in all seasons except summer) in the Czech climate reconstructions. Furthermore, components tied to multidecadal variabilities in the northern Atlantic and northern Pacific were identified in the temperature and precipitation series and in the drought indices, revealing notable shared oscillations, particularly at periods of approximately 70–100 years.
ER  -

BRÁZDIL, Rudolf; Petr DOBROVOLNÝ; Jiří MIKŠOVSKÝ; Petr PIŠOFT; Miroslav TRNKA; Martin MOŽNÝ a Jan BALEK. Documentary-based climate reconstructions in the Czech Lands 1501–2020 CE and their European context. \textit{Climate of the Past}. Copernicus Publications, 2022, roč.~18, č.~4, s.~935-959. ISSN~1814-9324. Dostupné z: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-935-2022.

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