DOBROVOLNÝ, Petr, Rudolf BRÁZDIL, Hubert VALÁŠEK, Oldřich KOTYZA, Jarmila MACKOVÁ a Monika BĚLÍNOVÁ. A standard paleoclimatological approach to temperature reconstruction in historical climatology: an example from the Czech Republic, A.D. 1718-2007. International Journal of Climatology. roč. 29, č. 10, s. 1478 - 1492. ISSN 0899-8418. 2009.
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Základní údaje
Originální název A standard paleoclimatological approach to temperature reconstruction in historical climatology: an example from the Czech Republic, A.D. 1718-2007
Název česky Standardní paleoklimatologický přístup k rekonstrukci klimatu v historické klimatologii: příklad z České republiky, 1718-2007
Autoři DOBROVOLNÝ, Petr (203 Česká republika, garant), Rudolf BRÁZDIL (203 Česká republika), Hubert VALÁŠEK (203 Česká republika), Oldřich KOTYZA (203 Česká republika), Jarmila MACKOVÁ (203 Česká republika) a Monika BĚLÍNOVÁ (203 Česká republika).
Vydání International Journal of Climatology, 2009, 0899-8418.
Další údaje
Originální jazyk angličtina
Typ výsledku Článek v odborném periodiku
Obor 10500 1.5. Earth and related environmental sciences
Stát vydavatele Česká republika
Utajení není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
WWW URL
Impakt faktor Impact factor: 2.347
Kód RIV RIV/00216224:14310/09:00036377
Organizační jednotka Přírodovědecká fakulta
UT WoS 000269401000011
Klíčová slova česky documentary data ; temperature indices; linear regression model; temperature reconstruction; Prague Klementinum; Czech Republic
Klíčová slova anglicky documentary data ; temperature indices; linear regression model; temperature reconstruction; Prague Klementinum; Czech Republic
Příznaky Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno
Změnil Změnil: prof. RNDr. Petr Dobrovolný, CSc., učo 680. Změněno: 7. 8. 2009 21:38.
Anotace
This paper addresses a standard paleoclimatological approach to reconstructing temperatures in historical climatology. Weighted monthly temperature indices on a scale from - 3 to + 3, derived from documentary evidence for the period 1718-1850 in the Czech Lands, were used to create a series of seasonal (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON) and annual temperature indices as simple sums of indices from corresponding months. The period 1771-1850, when such indices overlap with instrumental measurements taken at Prague-Klementinum, was used to calibrate and verify relations between indices and the temperatures measured, using linear regression models (LRM) evaluated by various statistical characteristics. The most accurate LRM performance was obtained for DJF, MAM and annual temperatures, while JJA and SON temperature results proved slightly less reliable. Reconstructed data for 1718-1770 were combined with measured data to create series of seasonal and annual temperatures for the Prague-Klementinum station covering the period 1718-2007. Various problems in temperature reconstruction are further discussed: the completeness and quality of the index series, the expression of extreme temperatures, and the selection of a reference period for calibration. The suggested standard paleoclimatological approach lends more objectivity to both verification of reconstructed temperatures and the expression of uncertainties in reconstruction.
Anotace česky
This paper addresses a standard paleoclimatological approach to reconstructing temperatures in historical climatology. Weighted monthly temperature indices on a scale from - 3 to + 3, derived from documentary evidence for the period 1718-1850 in the Czech Lands, were used to create a series of seasonal (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON) and annual temperature indices as simple sums of indices from corresponding months. The period 1771-1850, when such indices overlap with instrumental measurements taken at Prague-Klementinum, was used to calibrate and verify relations between indices and the temperatures measured, using linear regression models (LRM) evaluated by various statistical characteristics. The most accurate LRM performance was obtained for DJF, MAM and annual temperatures, while JJA and SON temperature results proved slightly less reliable. Reconstructed data for 1718-1770 were combined with measured data to create series of seasonal and annual temperatures for the Prague-Klementinum station covering the period 1718-2007. Various problems in temperature reconstruction are further discussed: the completeness and quality of the index series, the expression of extreme temperatures, and the selection of a reference period for calibration. The suggested standard paleoclimatological approach lends more objectivity to both verification of reconstructed temperatures and the expression of uncertainties in reconstruction.
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