2010
Monthly, seasonal and annual temperature reconstructions for Central Europe derived from documentary evidence and instrumental records since AD 1500
DOBROVOLNÝ, Petr; Anders MOBERG; Rudolf BRÁZDIL; Christian PFISTER; Ruediger GLASER et al.Základní údaje
Originální název
Monthly, seasonal and annual temperature reconstructions for Central Europe derived from documentary evidence and instrumental records since AD 1500
Autoři
DOBROVOLNÝ, Petr; Anders MOBERG; Rudolf BRÁZDIL; Christian PFISTER; Ruediger GLASER; Rob WILSON; Aryan VAN ENGELEN; Danuta LIMANOWKA; Andrea KISS; Monika BĚLÍNOVÁ; Jarmila BURIANOVÁ; Dirk RIEMANN; Juerg LUTERBACHER a Reinhard BOEHM
Vydání
Climatic Change, Dordrecht-Boston-London, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2010, 0165-0009
Další údaje
Jazyk
angličtina
Typ výsledku
Článek v odborném periodiku
Obor
10500 1.5. Earth and related environmental sciences
Stát vydavatele
Nizozemské království
Utajení
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
Impakt faktor
Impact factor: 3.016
Označené pro přenos do RIV
Ano
Kód RIV
RIV/00216224:14310/10:00058902
Organizační jednotka
Přírodovědecká fakulta
UT WoS
Klíčová slova anglicky
Air Temparature; Documentary Evidence; Early Instrumental Measurements; Climate Reconstruction; Central Europe
Příznaky
Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno
Změněno: 12. 4. 2013 12:14, Ing. Andrea Mikešková
Anotace
V originále
Monthly temperature series for Central Europe back to AD 1500 are developed from documentary index series from Germany, Switzerland and the Czech Republic (1500-1854) and 11 instrumental temperature records (1760-2007). Documentary evidence from the Low Countries, the Carpathian Basin and Poland are used for cross-checking for earlier centuries. The instrumental station records are corrected for inhomogeneities, including insufficient radiation protection of early thermometers and the urban heat island effect. For overlapping period (1760-1854), the documentary data series correlate with instrumental temperatures, most strongly in winter (86% explained variance in January) and least in autumn (56% in September). For annual average temperatures, 81% of the variance is explained. Verification statistics indicate high reconstruction skill for most months and seasons. The last 20 years (since 1988) stand out as very likely the warmest 20-year period, accounting for the calibration uncertainty and decreases in proxy data quality before the calibration period. The new reconstruction displays a previously unobserved long-term decrease in DJF, MAM and JJA temperature variability over last five centuries. Compiled monthly, seasonal and annual series can be used to improve the robustness of gridded large-scale European temperature reconstructions and possible impact studies. Further improvement of the reconstruction would be achieved if documentary data from other European countries are further developed.