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@article{972383,
author = {Pavlík, Tomáš and Májek, Ondřej and Mužík, Jan and Koptíková, Jana and Slavíček, Lubomír and Fínek, Jindřich and Feltl, David and Vyzula, Rostislav and Dušek, Ladislav},
article_number = {"art. 117"},
doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-117},
keywords = {PREOPERATIVE RADIOTHERAPY; PREVALENCE; POPULATION; CARE; PATTERNS; FRANCE; STAGE; PROJECTIONS; PREDICTION; RECURRENCE},
language = {eng},
issn = {1471-2458},
journal = {BMC Public Health},
title = {Estimating the number of colorectal cancer patients treated with anti-tumour therapy in 2015: the analysis of the Czech National Cancer Registry},
url = {http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/12/117},
volume = {12},
year = {2012}
}
TY - JOUR
ID - 972383
AU - Pavlík, Tomáš - Májek, Ondřej - Mužík, Jan - Koptíková, Jana - Slavíček, Lubomír - Fínek, Jindřich - Feltl, David - Vyzula, Rostislav - Dušek, Ladislav
PY - 2012
TI - Estimating the number of colorectal cancer patients treated with anti-tumour therapy in 2015: the analysis of the Czech National Cancer Registry
JF - BMC Public Health
VL - 12
IS - "art. 117"
SP - "nestrankovano"
EP - "nestrankovano"
SN - 14712458
KW - PREOPERATIVE RADIOTHERAPY
KW - PREVALENCE
KW - POPULATION
KW - CARE
KW - PATTERNS
KW - FRANCE
KW - STAGE
KW - PROJECTIONS
KW - PREDICTION
KW - RECURRENCE
UR - http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/12/117
L2 - http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/12/117
N2 - Colorectal cancer (CRC) represents a serious health care problem in the Czech Republic, introducing a need for a prospective modelling of the incidence and prevalence rates. The prevalence of patients requiring anti-tumour therapy is also of great importance, as it is directly associated with planning of health care resources. Methods This work proposes a population-based model for the estimation of stage-specific prevalence of CRC patients who will require active anti-tumour therapy in a given year. Its applicability is documented on records of the Czech National Cancer Registry (CNCR), which is used to estimate the number of patients potentially treated with anti-tumour therapy in the Czech Republic in 2015. Results Several scenarios are adopted to cover the plausible development of the incidence and survival rates, and the probability of an anti-tumour therapy initiation. Based on the scenarios, the model predicts an increase in CRC prevalence from 13% to 30% in comparison with the situation in 2008. Moreover, the model predicts that 10,074 to 11,440 CRC patients will be indicated for anti-tumour therapy in the Czech Republic in 2015. Considering all patients with terminal cancer recurrence and all patients primarily diagnosed in stage IV, it is predicted that 3,485 to 4,469 CRC patients will be treated for the metastatic disease in 2015, which accounts for more than one third (34-40%) of all CRC patients treated this year. Conclusions A new model for the estimation of the number of CRC patients requiring active anti-tumour therapy is proposed in this paper. The model respects the clinical stage as the primary stratification factor and utilizes solely the population-based cancer registry data. Thus, no specific hospital data records are needed in the proposed approach. Regarding the short-term prediction of the CRC burden in the Czech Republic, the model confirms a continuous increase in the burden that must be accounted for in the future planning of health care in the Czech Republic.
ER -
PAVLÍK, Tomáš, Ondřej MÁJEK, Jan MUŽÍK, Jana KOPTÍKOVÁ, Lubomír SLAVÍČEK, Jindřich FÍNEK, David FELTL, Rostislav VYZULA a Ladislav DUŠEK. Estimating the number of colorectal cancer patients treated with anti-tumour therapy in 2015: the analysis of the Czech National Cancer Registry. \textit{BMC Public Health}. 2012, roč.~12, ''art. 117'', s.~''nestrankovano'', 10 s. ISSN~1471-2458. Dostupné z: https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-117.
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